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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadium Municipal
N

Toulouse
0 - 0
Nantes


Desler (90+2')
FT

Girotto (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Nantes

Given Toulouse's recent wobbles on home soil, Nantes are expected to give the hosts a run for their money, but the visitors will struggle to claim all three points on Sunday. Sitting two points from safety with four matches remaining, the Canaries must go for broke at Stadium de Toulouse, but their attacking endeavours will leave them vulnerable in defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
44.66% (-0.328 -0.33) 25.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.13% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.271 -0.27)48.3% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.25 -0.25)70.44% (0.251 0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)21.62% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.402 -0.4)54.74% (0.404 0.4)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.75% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.66%
    Nantes 30.13%
    Draw 25.21%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 Lens
Tuesday, May 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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