Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
36.6% ( -0.02)	24.3% ( -0.02)	39.1% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.31% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

0.07)

42.35% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

0.06)

64.76% (

-0.06)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

0.02)

22.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

0.03)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.05)

21.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

0.07)

54.86% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Nantes 36.6%

Toulouse 39.1%

Draw 24.29%

Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.1%