A Nantes side who seldom travel well in Ligue 1 should experience an uncomfortable afternoon against a steadfast Auxerre defence, especially with so much still to play for, for both outfits.
If last weekend is anything to go by, set-pieces could be Nantes' golden ticket and Achilles heel at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, where a closely-contested stalemate could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
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