Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-2 with a probability of 5.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (5.35%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-3 (4.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
