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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
T

Brest
2 - 1
Troyes

Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Herelle (80'), Chardonnet (86'), Bizot (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Kouame (34'), Lopes (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-2 Troyes

Neither side are particularly enjoying their football at the moment, and may just hope to avoid defeat before the lengthy World Cup break in a fixture which historically has been very tight. Troyes' last seven games have seen both teams score though, and Brest have been leaky in defence too, so goals should be a near certainty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.

Result
BrestDrawTroyes
43.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 24.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 32.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.03% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.43% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.033999999999992 0.03)19.39% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.2% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.34% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)60.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Brest 43.85%
    Troyes 32.14%
    Draw 24%
BrestDrawTroyes
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Brest
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Reims
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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