SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Lens |
56.34% ( 0.03) | 21.42% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.31% ( 0.03) | 37.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.03) | 59.93% ( -0.03) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.7% ( 0.02) | 13.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.86% ( 0.04) | 40.14% ( -0.03) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( 0) | 30.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0) | 66.36% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
