With Clermont having returned to winning ways last time out, they will be optimistic of building on that result. However, Lens are slowly getting back on track themselves, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.09) 
