Les Lanciers have shown plenty of poise on the road so far this season, much more than on home soil, but their quality in the attacking third of late has let them down.
Given the form that Lens are currently in, we are tipping the scales in favour of the home team, who have been sharp defensively and in the attacking third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
-0.24) 
0.06) 
