Despite losing some key players this summer, Lens should still be a cut above their newly-promoted opponents. However, the hosts will fight hard to avoid defeat and will make Haise's side work for a second successive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Lens
36.13% ( -0.4)	30.5% ( 0.36)	33.37% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 40.79% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.33% (

-1.08)

66.66% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.96% (

-0.74)

85.04% (

0.74)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.85)

35.17% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.9)

71.92% (

0.89)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.91% (

-0.57)

37.08% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.13% (

-0.57)

73.87% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 36.12%

Lens 33.36%

Draw 30.5%

Ajaccio	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.12%	1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.5%	0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.36%