Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Terrier (18'), Theate (62')
Bade (45+1'), Genesio (57'), Salin (81'), Salin (81'), Santamaria (82'), Doue (86')
Ugochukwu (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Idrissy (57')
El Idrissy (45+4'), Mayembo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Ajaccio	2	-1	1
17	Rennes	2	-1	1
18	Auxerre	2	-3	1

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Lens
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Strasbourg	2	-1	1
16	Ajaccio	2	-1	1
17	Rennes	2	-1	1

We believe there is just too much quality and experience on the Rennes side for the visitors to handle in this weekend fixture. As good as L'ours were defensively a season ago, the strikers in the top-flight are far superior to the ones in Ligue 2 and outside of PSG, Rennes possess some of the best offensive weapons in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 8.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Ajaccio
72.87% ( 0.19)	18.27% ( -0.09)	8.85% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 37.69% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.05)

50.84% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.04)

72.72% (

-0.04)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

0.07)

12.54% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.43% (

0.14)

38.57% (

-0.14)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.09% (

-0.19)

56.91% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.01% (

-0.11)

88.99% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Rennes 72.86%

Ajaccio 8.85%

Draw 18.27%

Rennes	Draw	Ajaccio
2-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 72.86%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.85%