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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Route de Lorient
AA

Rennes
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Terrier (18'), Theate (62')
Bade (45+1'), Genesio (57'), Salin (81'), Salin (81'), Santamaria (82'), Doue (86')
Ugochukwu (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Idrissy (57')
El Idrissy (45+4'), Mayembo (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Lens
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-0 Ajaccio

We believe there is just too much quality and experience on the Rennes side for the visitors to handle in this weekend fixture. As good as L'ours were defensively a season ago, the strikers in the top-flight are far superior to the ones in Ligue 2 and outside of PSG, Rennes possess some of the best offensive weapons in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 8.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawAjaccio
72.87% (0.187 0.19) 18.27% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 8.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 37.69% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.052 0.05)50.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.044999999999998 0.04)72.72% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.069999999999993 0.07)12.54% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.143 0.14)38.57% (-0.143 -0.14)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.09% (-0.192 -0.19)56.91% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.01% (-0.108 -0.11)88.99% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 72.86%
    Ajaccio 8.85%
    Draw 18.27%
RennesDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 15.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 14.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.64% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.53% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 72.86%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.27%
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 8.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, August 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Lens
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 1-1 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 0-0 Ajaccio
Friday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 2


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