With the form that Lorient are in and with Lille's defensive vulnerability, it is hard to see anything but a Lorient win.
Lille will be expected to score a few goals with the quality of Jonathan David leading their attack, but we are backing the hosts to come out on top.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.07) 
