In spite of their remarkable defensive resilience on home soil, goals continue to be an issue for this relegation-threatened Lorient outfit, who are still more than capable of pulling off a positive result here.
Montpellier held their own for long periods against Lille - who are a far cry from their 2020-21 selves - and with Mavididi's absence continuing to affect them, we can only envisage Dall'Oglio's side taking a point home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
