We said: Lorient 1-1 Montpellier HSC
In spite of their remarkable defensive resilience on home soil, goals continue to be an issue for this relegation-threatened Lorient outfit, who are still more than capable of pulling off a positive result here.
Montpellier held their own for long periods against Lille - who are a far cry from their 2020-21 selves - and with Mavididi's absence continuing to affect them, we can only envisage Dall'Oglio's side taking a point home.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
