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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
T

Lorient
1 - 1
Troyes

Lauriente (74')
Monconduit (59'), Lauriente (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Touzghar (22')
Ripart (64'), Larouci (78')
Kabore (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Troyes

There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and there is no real pressure on either side heading into this match. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win, but we believe that the two teams will play out a low-scoring draw on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LorientDrawTroyes
50.47% (0.0019999999999953 0) 23.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 50.47%
    Troyes 25.82%
    Draw 23.71%
LorientDrawTroyes
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 25.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, May 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Reims
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-0 Metz
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lens
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, May 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Lille
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Troyes
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Clermont
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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