While nothing should be taken away from Troyes' victory over Lille, it could have certainly been a different story had Gourvennec's side not lost their heads and given away three spot kicks.
Facing a PSG side desperate to return to winning ways at the Parc des Princes fortress surely only spells one result, with Pochettino's side aiming to break the 80-point barrier with a straightforward success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 3.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 4-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
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