Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.