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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
ML

Lorient
1 - 0
Metz

Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz

A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
LorientDrawMetz
58.51%23.68%17.81%
Both teams to score 46.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.91%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.88%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.02%79.98%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 58.5%
    Metz 17.81%
    Draw 23.68%
LorientDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 6-2 St Etienne
Friday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 Lyon
Friday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 3-1 Metz
Sunday, April 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 6-1 Metz
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Lens
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Metz
Sunday, March 6 at 12pm in Ligue 1


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