Despite the difference in league positions, this feels like an evenly-matched encounter given Lyon's continued inconsistency. Nevertheless, we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
