SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 61.11% | 23.08% | 15.81% |
| Both teams to score 43.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% | 54.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% | 75.55% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% | 17.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.26% | 47.74% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.14% | 46.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.62% | 82.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.81% |
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