SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
41.18% ( 1.08) | 26.14% ( -0.25) | 32.68% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( 0.85) | 51.31% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( 0.74) | 73.14% ( -0.74) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.95) | 24.62% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( 1.31) | 59.12% ( -1.32) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.12) | 29.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( -0.14) | 65.56% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68% |
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