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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
N

Marseille
1 - 3
Nice

FT(HT: 0-2)
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Ndayishimiye (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

Rearguard solidity has been the theme for Digard and his defence-heavy 5-4-1 formation, which Marseille will certainly have a hard time breaking down, despite their plentiful attacking options. Tudor's side may already have one eye on Le Classique too, and for that reason, we would not be surprised to see an in-form Nice travel back to the Riviera with a hard-earned point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
58.11% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 22.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)48.77% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.084 -0.08)70.87% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.012 -0.01)16.49% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (-0.134 -0.13)39.77% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.123 -0.12)76.44% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.11%
    Nice 18.97%
    Draw 22.91%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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