SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
73.65% ( -0.32) | 15.91% ( 0.18) | 10.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.47) | 35.22% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.76% ( -0.52) | 57.24% ( 0.52) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.79% ( -0.18) | 8.21% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.27% ( -0.46) | 28.73% ( 0.45) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.06) | 43.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% ( -0.05) | 79.58% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 73.64% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.91% | 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 10.44% |
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