Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
55.18% ( 0.08) | 22.63% ( -0.02) | 22.18% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% ( 0.02) | 43.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.19% ( 0.02) | 65.8% ( -0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.38% ( 0.03) | 15.62% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.38% ( 0.07) | 44.61% ( -0.07) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.54% ( -0.04) | 33.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.91% ( -0.04) | 70.09% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.18% |
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