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Tuesday, January 21
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M
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
S
Strasbourg

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Emegha (23'), Greenwood (68' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Brassier (90+5'), Vaz (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (26'), Doue (28'), Lemarechal (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg

Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
55.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (0.067 0.07)44.61% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)70.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 55.18%
    Strasbourg 22.18%
    Draw 22.63%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Marseille
Saturday, January 11 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 0-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 12 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: RC Calais 0-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, December 21 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Reims
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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