Neither side have lived up to expectations of late, but Strasbourg look lost in the attacking third without Ajorque, while Marseille have been more disciplined and compact defensively away from home, and their attacking depth is much greater than their Alsatian counterparts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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