Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
36.97% ( -0.13) | 25.73% ( 0.05) | 37.31% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -0.22) | 48.95% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -0.2) | 71.03% ( 0.2) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.17) | 25.8% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -0.24) | 60.75% ( 0.24) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( -0.05) | 25.61% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( -0.07) | 60.49% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.31% |
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