SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
18.41% ( -0.06) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 60.14% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( 0.03) | 65.71% ( -0.03) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.05) | 37.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.01% ( -0.05) | 73.99% ( 0.05) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.04) | 13.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.51% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.13% |
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