SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
57.31% ( 0.09) | 22.85% ( -0.11) | 19.84% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.49) | 47.32% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.46) | 69.54% ( -0.46) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.2) | 16.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.37) | 45.79% ( -0.38) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.31) | 37.99% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( 0.29) | 74.76% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.84% |
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