Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 5 | 3 |
3 | Marseille | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Montpellier HSC | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
90.08% (![]() | 7.08% | 2.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.41% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.3% (![]() | 41.7% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.05% (![]() | 2.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.64% (![]() | 13.35% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.05% (![]() | 56.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.99% (![]() | 89.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
3-0 @ 12.24% (![]() 4-0 @ 10.78% 2-0 @ 10.43% 5-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.07% 1-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.46% 5-1 @ 4.28% 6-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.71% 7-1 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.2% 8-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.65% Total : 90.06% | 1-1 @ 3.34% 0-0 @ 1.68% 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.41% Total : 7.08% | 0-1 @ 0.95% 1-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 2.84% |
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