This game is a tricky one to call with both sides having so little to play for. However, the visitors have the worse form and are feeling their key absences so we are backing a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Montpellier HSC
54.59% ( -0.02)	23.66% ( 0)	21.74% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.02)

48.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.02)

70.51% (

0.01)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

-0.02)

17.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

-0.02)

48.18% (

0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

-0)

36.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

-0)

73.44% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Angers 54.59%

Montpellier HSC 21.74%

Draw 23.66%

Angers	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.59%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.74%