Letting a two-goal lead slip against a newly-promoted side in Troyes was another bitter blow for PSG, but facing an out-of-sorts Montpellier side is just what is needed to end their inconsistent patch on the road.
While PSG's defence in particular does not travel well, a Montpellier side without Savanier pulling the strings or Wahi finishing the job should not pose too many threats to the champions here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
-0) 
0.01) 
