Montpellier come into this contest on a run of six matches without a victory in all competitions.
Although their form suggests they could suffer another defeat in front of their fans, their record of three wins in Angers' last three visits leaves the match on a knife-edge, setting the stage for a possible 1-1 draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Angers had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.