SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Angers win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
23.03% ( 0.16) | 22.05% ( 0.08) | 54.92% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( -0.17) | 39.73% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0.17) | 62.09% ( 0.18) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.05) | 30.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( 0.05) | 66.92% ( -0.05) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( -0.13) | 14.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( -0.26) | 42.36% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.03% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.92% |
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