SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Troyes |
58.47% ( -0.7) | 22.39% ( 0.19) | 19.13% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( -0.08) | 46.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( -0.07) | 68.63% ( 0.07) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0.26) | 15.53% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( -0.48) | 44.45% ( 0.48) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.51) | 38.18% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( 0.49) | 74.94% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.13% |
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