Lens may not have a prolific scoring side, but there are plenty of holes in the Troyes defence that Kisnorbo needs to sort out, and given the consistency and defensive strength of the visitors, we expect they will be able to find the back of the net a few times and keep the pressure on PSG at the top of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.22) 
