Toulouse led Ligue 2 in scoring a season ago, but they have not been as consistent in the attacking third in the top flight.
Even without their top goalscorer in Terrier, Rennes have a plethora of scoring threats that the visitors will need to watch out for, and we believe the depth of Les Rennais will overwhelm Les Pitchouns this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.07) 
