Montpellier will be in supremely confident mood after beating Brest 7-0 in the weekend, and we think that they will cruise past an Ajaccio side, who are winless in their opening four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Ajaccio
45.8% ( 0.02)	26.84% ( -0.03)	27.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

0.11)

56.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

0.09)

77.28% (

-0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5% (

0.06)

24.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04% (

0.08)

58.96% (

-0.08)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

0.06)

36% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

0.07)

72.77% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 45.8%

Ajaccio 27.35%

Draw 26.84%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.8%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.35%