Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
