Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
