Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.