Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Caen had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.
0.73) 
-0.82) 
