SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Pau win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Auxerre |
22.54% ( 0.79) | 22.88% ( -0.06) | 54.58% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 1.18) | 44.08% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 1.14) | 66.46% ( -1.14) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.39) | 33.5% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( 1.49) | 70.14% ( -1.49) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( 0.17) | 16.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( 0.3) | 45.43% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 9% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.58% |
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