Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
