Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.