Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
