Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 40.71%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
