Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
