This feels like a winnable match for Les Girondins, and if they are going to survive this year they will have to succeed in winning. Angers' poor form looks set to continue and despite having home advantage and a few returning players, we are backing the visitors to take a crucial three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.