Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Toulouse in this match.