Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.