Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.95) 
1.18) 
