Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Bordeaux
35.5% ( -0.95)	27.71% ( -0.22)	36.79% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.84% (

0.85)

57.16% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97% (

0.68)

78.02% (

-0.67)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

-0.17)

30.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13% (

-0.2)

66.87% (

0.2)

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

1.16)

29.83% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

1.38)

65.92% (

-1.38)

Score Analysis

Bastia 35.5%

Bordeaux 36.78%

Draw 27.7%

Bastia	Draw	Bordeaux
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.5%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.78%