Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
